Calamity
mediumSevere weatherCalamity Score: 39

Severe Weather near Grand Junction

MesaUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 21 July 2026 at 05:05 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 32 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 3 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flash Flood Warning issued July 20 at 10:55PM MDT until July 20 at 11:00PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO

An estimated 80,247 people live within 50 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 39 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Event Data

TypeSevere weather
Severitymedium
Calamity Score (ours)39 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates38.9484, -108.7280
Nearest CityGrand Junction (20 km)
Population Exposed80.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-21T04:55:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flash Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.75e72cc0a4e2943683f1e5cc698b2819

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
55
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlash Flood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescRio Blanco, CO; Mesa, CO; Mesa, CO; Grand, UT and 1 more areas
HeadlineFlash Flood Warning issued July 20 at 10:55PM MDT until July 20 at 11:00PM MDT by NWS Grand Junction CO
Expires2026-07-20T23:05:00-06:00
SenderNameNWS Grand Junction CO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.75e72cc0a4e2943683f1e5cc698b281917d78a8f.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.40172272ba820f901fe02dad566d731af54d7a6a.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.88554b7f31d544ffc23d894170fea49cfa6f95d7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.bf4068d8af22089285661cbad5f4d3f7da29802b.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.005b92ac965a7b2638ba07f379d7038f01a4025c.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.796ed7e3d7b1d797b342b8e7360dac97a7564cad.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 10 February 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 39/100, near Grand Junction (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.